Is the NBA Summer League Predictive of Performance for NBA Rookies?

Department

Exercise Science and Sport Management

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2-1-2021

Abstract

Using data from 2006 to 2019, we show that performance in the NBA Summer League can be used to predict regular season performance for NBA rookies. This result is indicated by general performance (win shares) and also by individual performance measures; for example, players who score more points than anticipated in the Summer League are also more proficient scorers as NBA rookies. Our findings suggest that NBA executives and coaches should use performance in the Summer League to inform personnel decisions. This study is the first of its nature and will hopefully encourage others to investigate the NBA Summer League.

Journal Title

Journal of Sports Economics

Journal ISSN

15270025

Volume

22

Issue

2

First Page

164

Last Page

182

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1177/1527002520959138

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