HUNGER AND ANGER IN AUTOCRACIES AND DEMOCRACIES
Economics, Finance and Quantitative Analysis
School of Conflict Management, Peacebuilding and Development
How do democracies and autocracies respond to rising food prices? Authoritarian regimes, we argue, must match the redistribution that the poor would obtain in a democracy to prevent an uprising. Interpreting authoritarian regimes as the rule of a faction of the rich, we develop a model that suggests that (1) food price inflation is both a threat to democracies and autocracies, (2) food price inflation is more of a threat to autocracies than to democracies, and (3) food price inflation is more of a threat to autocracies that are more factionalized. We provide empirical evidence for these hypotheses.
International Journal of Development and Conflict